基于多时相合成遥感影像的耕地土壤肥力预测——以三江平原友谊农场为例
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中国科学院南京土壤研究所

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Prediction of soil fertility properties in cropland using multi-temporal synthetic remote sensing image: a case study of Youyi Farm in Sanjiang Plain
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Institute of Soil Science,Chinese Academy of Sciences

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    摘要:

    摘 要: 东北地区是我国重要的粮食生产基地,近年来不合理的土地利用导致耕地土壤肥力下降,严重威胁我国粮食安全。本研究以三江平原友谊农场为研究区,采集了103个耕地表层土壤样品,利用2019~2023年4月、5月和6月潜在裸土期内的Sentinel-2遥感影像,采用随机森林模型实现土壤有机质、全氮、全磷和全钾的预测。为揭示影像时相对土壤肥力预测的影响,实现土壤肥力高精度预测,首先将影像划分为七个年份梯度(五个单一年份:2019、2020、2021、2022和2023年,两个多年份:2020~2022年以及2019~2023年),然后将同一年份梯度内的影像分为四个月份梯度(三个单一月份:4、5和6月,一个多月份:4~6月),最后针对不同年月份梯度影像组合,构建了28景合成影像。结果表明,土壤有机质预测精度最高:R2= 0.62,RMSE = 0.66%,全氮的预测精度与有机质相似:R2=0.58,RMSE = 0.03%,全磷的预测精度难以满足实际应用需求,最高精度仅为:R2= 0.13,RMSE = 98.44 mg/kg,全钾的预测精度为:R2= 0.53,RMSE = 0.15%。不同时相的遥感影像预测结果表明,多年合成影像比单一年份合成影像具有更好的预测能力,且5月的合成影像预测精度最高。通过对遥感影像进行时相优选可实现土壤肥力属性中的有机质、全氮和全钾的高精度预测,而全磷的预测则可能需要借助其他环境变量。本研究将为东北地区土壤肥力监测提供技术支持。

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    Abstract: The Northeast China is a vital grain production base for China. However, unreasonable use of cultivated land in this region has caused a decline in soil fertility, posing a severe threat to the nation's food security. This study focused on the Youyi Farm in the Sanjiang Plain, where 103 surface soil samples in cropland were collected. Sentinel-2 images in April, May, and June from 2019 to 2023 were selected to predict soil organic matter, total nitrogen, total phosphorus, and total potassium based on a random forest algorithm. To investigate the temporal effects of images on the prediction of these soil fertility properties, the images were first divided into seven-year groups (five single-year-groups: 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, and 2023, and two multi-year-groups: 2020–2022 and 2019–2023). Then, within each year-group, the images were further divided into four month-groups (three single-month-groups: April, May, and June, and one multi-month-group: April–June). Finally, 28 synthetic images were constructed by combining year-groups and month-groups. The results indicate that the highest prediction accuracy was obtained for soil organic matter, with an R2 of 0.62 and an RMSE of 0.66%. The prediction accuracy of soil total nitrogen was similar to that of organic matter, with an R2 of 0.58 and an RMSE of 0.03%. Total phosphorus predictions were not sufficiently accurate for practical applications, with the highest accuracy of an R2 of 0.13 and RMSE of 98.44 mg/kg. The total potassium achieved a relatively high prediction accuracy of an R2 of 0.53 and RMSE of 0.15%. The results in different year-groups and month-groups indicated that multi-year synthetic images outperformed single-year synthetic images, and the synthetic images from May showed the highest prediction accuracy. Thus, selecting proper temporal images can achieve accurate predictions of soil organic matter, total nitrogen, and total potassium. However, an accurate prediction of total phosphorus may require additional environmental variables. This study provides technical support for soil fertility monitoring in Northeast China.

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马海艺,王昌昆,刘杰,郭志英,袁自然,姚成硕,王晓盼,潘贤章.基于多时相合成遥感影像的耕地土壤肥力预测——以三江平原友谊农场为例[J].土壤学报,,[待发表]
MA Haiyi, WANG Changkun, LIU Jie, GUO Zhiying, YUAN Ziran, YAO Chengshuo, WANG Xiaopan, PAN Xianzhang. Prediction of soil fertility properties in cropland using multi-temporal synthetic remote sensing image: a case study of Youyi Farm in Sanjiang Plain[J]. Acta Pedologica Sinica,,[In Press]

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  • 收稿日期:2025-07-09
  • 最后修改日期:2026-01-09
  • 录用日期:2026-03-09
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