基于逐类型随机森林的土种与成土环境关系研究
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1.中国科学院南京土壤研究所土壤与农业可持续发展国家重点实验室/中国科学院大学;2.中国农业大学土地科学与技术学院

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基金项目:

国家自然科学基金项目(42571077)资助


Study on the Relationship Between Soil Species and Soil-Forming Environments Based on a Type-by-Type Random Forest Modeling Strategy
Author:
Affiliation:

1.Institute of Soil Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences/University of Chinese Academy of Sciences;2.China Agricultural University

Fund Project:

Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No.42571077)

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    摘要:

    土壤类型数字制图通常采用多类型一次性建模策略,但是这种策略难以充分考虑每个土壤类型与其成土环境的复杂关系。对此,本研究提出一种逐类型的随机森林建模策略,并以江苏省仪征市为研究区,利用21个环境协变量和从历史土壤图土种图斑提取860个典型虚拟样点,逐个土种构建随机森林分类模型,输出各土种预测概率的空间分布,取概率值最大的土种类型作为该像元的预测结果。将该方法与常规多类型一次性随机森林建模策略进行了对比。结果表明,逐类型多次建模策略的总体精度与Kappa系数分别为0.62和0.58,常规建模策略为0.61和0.57,二者总体精度在该研究区差距微弱,但是前者不确定性明显减小,逐类型多次建模策略的最大概率空间均值为0.54,高于常规建模策略的最大概率空间均值0.08,而且逐类型多次建模策略能够输出每个像元概率次大的土种可能性及混淆指数,有助于识别北部岗地等概率次大土种可能性偏高的易混淆区域。逐类型多次建模策略对马肝土、黄刚土、黄杂土、油泥土等的预测精度高于常规建模策略,但未在所有土种上取得一致提升。另外,逐类型多次建模策略可输出单个土种的环境变量重要性,有助于土种与环境因素关系分析,结果显示高程、地形湿度指数和距长江距离可指示大部分土种空间变异。因此,与常规一次性建模策略相比,逐类型多次随机森林模型可显著降低土壤类型预测的不确定性,提高预测结果可靠性,可作为理解每个土种与成土环境之间关系的有用工具。

    Abstract:

    【Objective】Digital soil mapping of soil types commonly adopts a multi-type one-time modeling strategy, but this strategy struggles to fully consider the complex relationship between each soil type and its soil-forming environment. To address this gap, this study proposes a type-by-type random forest modeling strategy. 【Method】Taking Yizheng City, Jiangsu Province, as the study area, 21 environmental covariates and 860 typical virtual sample points extracted from soil species polygons in historical soil maps were used to construct random forest classification models for each soil species individually. The spatial distribution of predicted probabilities for each soil species was output, and the soil species with the highest probability was taken as the predicted result for each pixel. This method was compared with the conventional multi-type one-time random forest modeling strategy.【Result】Results showed that the overall accuracy and Kappa coefficient of the type-by-type multiple modeling strategy were 0.62 and 0.58, respectively, while those of the conventional modeling strategy were 0.61 and 0.57. The difference in overall accuracy between the two strategies was very small in the study area. However, the uncertainty of the former decreased significantly. The spatial mean of the maximum probability under the type-by-type multiple modeling strategy was 0.54, which was 0.08 higher than the spatial mean of the maximum probability under the conventional modeling strategy. Moreover, the type-by-type multiple modeling strategy could output, for each pixel, the probability of the second-most-probable soil species and the confusion index, which helps identify confusion-prone areas such as the northern uplands, where the probability of the second-most-probable soil species is relatively high. The type-by-type multiple modeling strategy had higher prediction accuracy for Horse-liver Soil, Yellow Rigid Soil, Yellow Variegated Soil, Oily Silty Soil,etc , than the conventional modeling strategy, but it did not achieve consistent improvement for all soil species. In addition, the type-by-type multiple modeling strategy could output the importance of environmental variables for individual soil species, facilitating analysis of the relationships between soil species and environmental factors. The results showed that elevation, topographic wetness index, and distance to the Yangtze River could indicate the spatial variation of most soil species.【Conclusion】Therefore, compared with the conventional one-time modeling strategy, the type-by-type multiple random forest model can significantly reduce the uncertainty of soil type prediction, improve the reliability of prediction results, and serve as a useful tool for understanding the relationship between each soil species and its soil-forming environment.

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黄语芯,赵治东,刘 峰.基于逐类型随机森林的土种与成土环境关系研究[J].土壤学报,DOI:10.11766/trxb202603130128,[待发表]
HuangYuxin, ZHAO Zhidong, LIU Feng. Study on the Relationship Between Soil Species and Soil-Forming Environments Based on a Type-by-Type Random Forest Modeling Strategy[J]. Acta Pedologica Sinica, DOI:10.11766/trxb202603130128,[In Press]

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  • 收稿日期:2026-03-13
  • 最后修改日期:2026-10-20
  • 录用日期:2026-10-23
  • 在线发布日期: 2026-10-23
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