基于时空变异的旱地土壤有机碳高效采样策略研究
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国家自然科学基金项目(41971050)、福建省自然科学基金项目(2019J01660)、福建省科技计划项目(2017N5006)和福建农林大学国际合作项目(KXGH17017)共同资助


Strategy for Efficient Sampling of Upland Soil Based on Spatiotemporal Variation of the Soil
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National Science Foundation of China(No. 41971050)、the National Science Foundation of Fujian Province, China(No. 2019J01660)、 the Science and Technology Planning Project of Fujian Province, China(No. 2017N5006) and the International Cooperative Research Program at Fujian Agriculture and Forestry University(No. KXGH17017)

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    摘要:

    土壤有机碳(SOC)空间分布具有时序差异性,明确样点数量对不同时期SOC预测精度影响是制定高效采样策略的基础。选取3.93×104 km2江苏北部旱地作为案例区,运用普通克里金插值方法,分析样点数量对不同时期SOC空间预测精度的影响。结果表明:不同数量样点数据集下1980年苏北旱地SOC预测值与实测值的相关系数r和均方根误差RMSE变幅分别在0.15~0.56和2.09~2.63 g·kg-1之间,当样点数量大于75%时,预测精度较高且能达到相对稳定水平,最佳采样数目在563个左右;而2008年r和RMSE变幅分别在0.24~0.63和2.11~2.62 g·kg-1之间,预测精度对于样点数量的变化更为敏感,70%的样点数量即可达到相对稳定水平,最佳采样数目在526个左右,这表明不同时期SOC空间预测精度对于样点数量变化的响应不同,土壤属性的空间自相关性越大,预测精度对于采样数量的敏感性越强,空间信息达到饱和状态所需样点数量也相对较少;此外,本研究也发现在SOC高、低值等关键区域设置足够的样点数量是提高土壤空间预测效果的重要手段之一。

    Abstract:

    [Objective] Soil organic carbon (SOC) varies sharply with time and space, as it is always subject to influences of various soil-forming factors, natural environmental factors and human activities. So to determine how an appropriate number of sampling sites could affect accuracy of the prediction of SOC in different time periods is the basis for formulating a scientific strategy for high-efficient soil sampling.[Method] In this study, a tract of upland (3.93×104 km2) in North Jiangsu was delineated and selected as a case area, and the Ordinary Kriging interpolation method commonly used in soil science was adopted in analyzing influences of numbers of sampling sites on prediction and mapping of SOC in different time periods. The study was designed to have 20 treatments, which were set in accordance with the principle of 5% decrease in number.[Result] Results show that with the number of soil sampling sites decreasing from 100% to 5%, correlation coefficient (r) between the predicted value and the measured value of SOC in 1980 and in 2008 varied in the range of 0.15-0.56 and 0.24-0.63 and root mean square error in the range of 2.09-2.63 and 2.11-2.62 g·kg-1, respectively. As in 1980, the SOC in the studied region varied quite slightly in spatial autocorrelation and quite drastically and locally, its prediction improved slowly and unsteadily in accuracy, and around 563 samples were needed to make the prediction relatively reliable. However, in 2008, the SOC in the region varied quite sharply in spatial autocorrelation, but mildly locally, and hence its prediction was very sensitive in accuracy to variation of the number of sampling sites. So 526 soil sampling sites were enough to ensure stable prediction accuracy. Standard root mean square errors of the 20 treatments in terms of number of sampling sites varied in the range of 0.34-0.43 and 0.20-0.25 g·kg-1, in 1980 and in 2008, respectively, and spatial prediction was higher in 2008 than in 1980 in accuracy when the numbers of soil sampling sites were the same.[Conclusion] Results of this study indicate that the optimal number of soil sampling sites and their prediction accuracy in the same area are not fixed, but determined in the light of spatial variability of soil attributes, distribution and spatial layout of the sampling sites in each time period. As environment, climate and farmland management practices all vary with time period, SOC content does too in spatial structure and layout, which will greatly affect the optimal number of sampling sites relative to time period.

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姚彩燕,刘绍贵,乔婷,龙军,于东升,史学正,邢世和,陈瀚阅,张黎明.基于时空变异的旱地土壤有机碳高效采样策略研究[J].土壤学报,2021,58(3):638-648. DOI:10.11766/trxb201911150515 YAO Caiyan, LIU Shaogui, QIAO Ting, LONG Jun, YU Dongsheng, SHI Xuezheng, XING Shihe, CHEN Hanyue, ZHANG Liming. Strategy for Efficient Sampling of Upland Soil Based on Spatiotemporal Variation of the Soil[J]. Acta Pedologica Sinica,2021,58(3):638-648.

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  • 收稿日期:2019-11-15
  • 最后修改日期:2020-01-16
  • 录用日期:2020-03-03
  • 在线发布日期: 2020-12-08
  • 出版日期: 2021-05-11