Cultivated Land Soil Security Evaluation Based on the Earth
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China University of Geosciences Beijing

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The black soil special key research and development plan (2023YFD1500104), the key project of the National Natural Science Foundation of China (42430705), and he National Natural Science Foundation of China (42171261)

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    Abstract:

    【Objective】 Ensuring the security of soils in the Northeast Black Soil Region, a critical commodity grain production base in China, is essential for safeguarding the national food supply and promoting sustainable resource utilization. However, existing evaluation systems lack a comprehensive integration of multi-sphere interaction mechanisms within the Earth’s critical zone, making it difficult to quantify the synergistic effects of natural substrates and human activities. Thus, this study aims to address this gap by developing a systematic decision-making tool for the sustainable management of cultivated land resources in the Northeast Black Soil Region. 【Method】This study focused on Suihua City, a typical black soil region, and constructed a four-dimensional evaluation system of "Condition (C1)-Capability (C2)-Capital (C3)-Connectivity (C4)" guided by the Earth""s critical zone theory. Seventeen indicators (such as black soil layer thickness, cation exchange capacity, soil organic matter content, etc.) were selected from aspects including soil physical, chemical, and biological properties to characterize the cultivated land soil security pattern of Suihua City. Also, the influencing mechanism of Earth""s critical zone elements on soil security was evaluated by combining with the Random Forest model. 【Result】The results showed that: (1) The C1 state scores exhibited a spatial variation with higher values in the northeast and lower values in the southwest; C2 scores were generally high; C3 capital scores showed an opposite spatial pattern to C1, with lower values in the northeast and higher values in the southwest; and C4 scores did not display a clear spatial pattern. (2) The comprehensive soil security scores ranged from 54.3 to 88.4 (average of 77.7), with 84.9% of cultivated land classified as moderately secure or higher. Higher security regions (56.5%) were concentrated in Beilin District, Anda City, and Hailun City, while critical and insecure regions (15.1%) were mainly distributed in Qing’an County and Mingshui County. (3) The average means square error increase (%IncMSE) for the 17 indicators was 1.3%, with black soil layer thickness and soil organic carbon content having %IncMSE values of 10.7% and 3.7%, respectively, significantly higher than other indicators. 【Conclusion】The results of the study demonstrate that the four-dimensional evaluation framework rooted in the Earth""s critical zone theory effectively quantifies the interplay between natural substrates and anthropogenic activities. This approach elucidates the response mechanisms of soil security within the multi-layered structure of the critical zone, offering a systematic decision-making tool for sustainable management of cultivated land resources in black soil regions. These findings provide actionable insights for balancing agricultural productivity with ecological sustainability in ecologically fragile agroecosystems.

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History
  • Received:March 25,2025
  • Revised:July 14,2025
  • Adopted:August 25,2025
  • Online: September 05,2025
  • Published:
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